Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.014599 0.016950 0.019544 0.022617 0.026156 0.030104 0.034838
2026-01-18 0.011070 0.014100 0.017748 0.022459 0.028373 0.035545 0.044899
2026-01-25 0.008543 0.011794 0.016017 0.021888 0.029824 0.040163 0.054641
2026-02-01 0.006826 0.010120 0.014693 0.021481 0.031269 0.044841 0.065059
2026-02-08 0.005626 0.008891 0.013704 0.021272 0.032831 0.049768 0.076407
2026-02-15 0.004637 0.007768 0.012640 0.020719 0.033716 0.053731 0.086792
2026-02-22 0.004151 0.007330 0.012526 0.021558 0.036781 0.061286 0.103566
2026-03-01 0.003595 0.006672 0.011936 0.021503 0.038343 0.066595 0.117358
2026-03-08 0.003025 0.005884 0.010996 0.020687 0.038462 0.069468 0.127348
2026-03-15 0.002643 0.005374 0.010461 0.020488 0.039595 0.074153 0.140979
2026-03-22 0.002482 0.005255 0.010615 0.021571 0.043187 0.083589 0.164262
2026-03-29 0.002284 0.005029 0.010532 0.022172 0.045921 0.091729 0.186047
2026-04-05 0.001980 0.004542 0.009871 0.021555 0.046233 0.095405 0.199894
2026-04-12 0.001756 0.004188 0.009434 0.021338 0.047323 0.100732 0.217689
2026-04-19 0.001533 0.003802 0.008869 0.020760 0.047573 0.104375 0.232467
2026-04-26 0.001355 0.003486 0.008413 0.020356 0.048135 0.108717 0.249225
2026-05-03 0.001213 0.003236 0.008068 0.020149 0.049099 0.114012 0.268653
2026-05-10 0.001070 0.002958 0.007615 0.019620 0.049244 0.117501 0.284436
2026-05-17 0.001018 0.002906 0.007701 0.020414 0.052628 0.128710 0.319263
2026-05-24 0.000927 0.002733 0.007462 0.020360 0.053934 0.135232 0.343802
2026-05-31 0.000812 0.002478 0.006972 0.019585 0.053327 0.137121 0.357367
2026-06-07 0.000737 0.002320 0.006717 0.019396 0.054200 0.142712 0.380734
2026-06-14 0.000716 0.002322 0.006898 0.020423 0.058420 0.157145 0.428143